Fortune | FORTUNE 08月13日
National debt hits a record $37 trillion, years sooner than pre-pandemic projections
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美国政府的国民总债务已突破37万亿美元大关,创下历史新高,这凸显了美国资产负债表上不断加速的债务以及纳税人日益增长的成本压力。最新的财政部报告显示,这一数字比疫情前的预测提前多年实现。疫情期间的巨额支出以及近期通过的减税和支出法案,预计未来十年将使国家债务增加4.1万亿美元。专家指出,政府的巨额借贷推高了利率,增加了所有人的成本,并挤压了私营部门的投资和重要的联邦预算优先事项。不断增长的政府债务将导致抵押贷款和汽车等借贷成本上升,企业投资减少从而压低工资,商品和服务价格也可能上涨。过去一年,国债每几个月就增加一万亿美元,速度远超过去25年的平均水平。这一令人担忧的趋势呼吁政策制定者尽快采取行动。

📈 美国国民总债务已飙升至37万亿美元以上,创下历史新高。这一数字比国会预算办公室2020年1月预测的2030年后才能达到的水平提前了数年,显示了美国债务增长的加速趋势。

🦠 导致债务快速增长的主要原因包括:为应对2020年开始的COVID-19大流行而进行的巨额政府借贷,以及近期通过的减税和支出法案。该法案预计在未来十年内将使国家债务增加4.1万亿美元。

💸 政府借贷行为推高了利率,这不仅增加了所有人的借贷成本,也减少了私营部门的投资。在联邦预算内部,巨额债务挤占了重要的优先事项,并形成了一个恶性循环:更多借贷导致更高利息成本,进而需要更多借贷。

🚗 国务院问责局(GAO)指出,政府债务增加对美国人的影响是多方面的,包括:抵押贷款、汽车贷款等借贷成本上升;企业可用于投资的资金减少,导致工资下降;以及商品和服务价格上涨。

⏳ 国债增长速度惊人,过去一年,国债每约5个月就增加1万亿美元,这一速度是过去25年平均增长率的两倍多。目前的增长速度预示着在约173天内将再增加1万亿美元债务。

The U.S. government’s gross national debt has surpassed $37 trillion, a record number that highlights the accelerating debt on America’s balance sheet and increased cost pressures on taxpayers.

The $37 trillion update is found in the latest Treasury Department report issued Tuesday which logs the nation’s daily finances.

The national debt eclipsed $37 trillion years sooner than pre-pandemic projections. The Congressional Budget Office’s January 2020 projections had gross federal debt eclipsing $37 trillion after fiscal year 2030. But the debt grew faster than expected because of a multi-year COVID-19 pandemic starting in 2020 that shut down much of the U.S. economy, where the federal government borrowed heavily under then-President Donald Trump and former President Joe Biden to stabilize the national economy and support a recovery.

And now, more government spending has been approved after Trump signed into law Republicans’ tax cut and spending legislation earlier this year. The law set to add $4.1 trillion to the national debt over the next decade, according to Congressional Budget Office estimates.

Chair and CEO of the Peter G. Peterson Foundation, Michael Peterson said in a statement that government borrowing puts upward pressure on interest rates, “adding costs for everyone and reducing private sector investment. Within the federal budget, the debt crowds out important priorities and creates a damaging cycle of more borrowing, more interest costs, and even more borrowing.”

Wendy Edelberg, a senior fellow in Economic Studies at the Brookings Institution said Congress has a major role in setting in motion spending and revenue policy and the result of the Republicans’ tax law “means that we’re going to borrow a lot over the course of 2026, we’re going to borrow a lot over the course of 2027, and it’s just going to keep going.”

The Government Accountability Office outlines some of the impacts of rising government debt on Americans — including higher borrowing costs for things like mortgages and cars, lower wages from businesses having less money available to invest, and more expensive goods and services.

Peterson points out how the trillion-dollar milestones are “piling up at a rapid rate.”

The U.S. hit $34 trillion in debt in January 2024, $35 trillion in July 2024 and $36 trillion in November 2024. “We are now adding a trillion more to the national debt every 5 months,” Peterson said. “That’s more than twice as fast as the average rate over the last 25 years.”

The Joint Economic Committee estimates at the current average daily rate of growth an increase of another trillion dollars to the debt would be reached in approximately 173 days.

Maya MacGuineas, president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget said in a statement that “hopefully this milestone is enough to wake up policymakers to the reality that we need to do something, and we need to do it quickly.”

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美国国债 财政赤字 经济 债务危机 政府支出
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