cs.AI updates on arXiv.org 08月11日
Epidemic Control on a Large-Scale-Agent-Based Epidemiology Model using Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient
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本文研究利用深度确定性策略梯度(DDPG)在大型仿真环境中,对疫情干预策略进行多目标优化,探讨在无封锁和疫苗接种情况下,如何平衡经济与公共卫生目标。

arXiv:2304.04475v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: To mitigate the impact of the pandemic, several measures include lockdowns, rapid vaccination programs, school closures, and economic stimulus. These interventions can have positive or unintended negative consequences. Current research to model and determine an optimal intervention automatically through round-tripping is limited by the simulation objectives, scale (a few thousand individuals), model types that are not suited for intervention studies, and the number of intervention strategies they can explore (discrete vs continuous). We address these challenges using a Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (DDPG) based policy optimization framework on a large-scale (100,000 individual) epidemiological agent-based simulation where we perform multi-objective optimization. We determine the optimal policy for lockdown and vaccination in a minimalist age-stratified multi-vaccine scenario with a basic simulation for economic activity. With no lockdown and vaccination (mid-age and elderly), results show optimal economy (individuals below the poverty line) with balanced health objectives (infection, and hospitalization). An in-depth simulation is needed to further validate our results and open-source our framework.

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相关标签

DDPG 疫情干预 多目标优化 经济平衡 公共卫生
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