Fortune | FORTUNE 08月08日
Stunning new data reveals 140% layoff spike in July, with almost half connected to AI and ‘technological updates’
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美国就业市场在七月出现疲软迹象,新增就业人数低于预期,失业率小幅上升,劳动力参与率下降。更值得关注的是,七月份裁员人数激增,总计超过六万两千人,同比大幅增长140%。其中,近一半的裁员与人工智能(AI)和技术更新有关,显示出技术变革对劳动力市场的深远影响。此外,政府部门的削减(DOGE影响)也是导致裁员的重要因素,其影响已波及非营利组织和医疗保健领域。整体而言,经济压力、通货膨胀和市场变化也持续贡献着裁员数据,尤其在科技、零售和非营利部门表现突出。

📈 **就业增长乏力与失业率上升**:七月份美国新增就业岗位仅为7.3万个,远低于华尔街的预期。同时,失业率也从4.1%微升至4.2%,劳动力市场呈现出增长放缓的态势,这表明经济复苏的动力可能正在减弱。

🚀 **裁员人数激增,AI影响显著**:七月份美国企业宣布的裁员总数高达62,075人,较去年同期激增140%,远高于近十年来的七月平均水平。其中,近一半(49%)的裁员明确归因于人工智能(AI)和“技术更新”,这标志着技术驱动的结构性变革正在加速渗透到劳动力市场,可能预示着未来就业模式的重大转变。

🏛️ **政府削减与“DOGE影响”**:除了AI驱动的裁员外,政府部门的预算削减(被称为“DOGE影响”)也是导致今年裁员潮的重要推手。政府部门(尤其是联邦层面)的裁员已达近30万,这不仅影响了政府直接雇员,还通过减少联邦支持间接导致了非营利组织和医疗保健领域的额外裁员。

🌐 **区域与行业分布不均**:裁员潮在不同地区和行业中的分布并不均衡。东海岸的裁员增幅最为显著,华盛顿特区、新泽西和纽约的联邦机构削减和行业调整是主要原因。西部,特别是加州,也经历了大规模裁员。私营部门中,科技行业因AI颠覆和签证不确定性裁员人数最多,零售业则受到通胀和关税影响而大规模收缩,非营利部门也因运营成本和联邦支持减少而裁员情况严峻。

📉 **招聘计划低迷,技术岗位需求下降**:与裁员的严峻形势相对应的是,企业宣布的新增招聘计划数量同样低迷,远低于疫情前水平。特别是科技行业的招聘需求大幅下滑,同比下降58%,这反映出尽管AI技术在驱动某些变革,但在整体招聘市场上,技术岗位的需求并未同步增长,反而可能受到自动化和效率提升的影响。

Not only did payrolls grow by just 73,000 in July, below Wall Street estimates, but the revisions also showed that the spring had two consecutive months of growth below 20,000. The unemployment rate edged up to 4.2% from 4.1%, as the labor force shrank. Added to this sluggish cocktail is new data showing a remarkable surge in layoffs in July as well.

Employment consultancy Challenger, Gray & Christmas publishes a monthly “job cut” report and the July edition makes for some reading. According to the data, employers across the U.S. announced 62,075 job cuts last month—a 29% increase from June but a stunning 140% surge over July 2024 and a decisive end to the typical midsummer lull in workforce reductions. And nearly half of these cuts—49%—were related to artificial intelligence (AI) and “technological updates.”

The report says these cuts are “well above average for this month since the pandemic,” and one of the highest July pullbacks in the past decade, evidence that deep, technology-driven changes are rippling through the labor market. For perspective, the average number of job cuts announced in July from 2021 to 2024 was just 23,584. Even against the broader decade’s average of 60,398, this year’s total is notably higher.

Headlines, including in Fortune, have linked surging layoffs to increasing adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) in the enterprise, and Challenger Gray agrees, partially. A bigger impact is cutbacks in government employment as a result of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), previously with Elon Musk in an ambiguous advisory role. A big part of the DOGE cuts, of course, is to encourage increasing AI adoption within the government. “We are seeing the Federal budget cuts implemented by DOGE impact non-profits and healthcare in addition to the government,” said Andrew Challenger, Senior Vice President and labor expert for Challenger, Gray & Christmas. “AI was cited for over 10,000 cuts last month, and tariff concerns have impacted nearly 6,000 jobs this year.”

The AI effect

Beyond the more than 10,000 jobs in July that were eliminated specifically due to AI adoption, an additional 20,219 cuts were attributed to “technological updates” including automation and new software workflows. Challenger Gray said this suggests “a significant acceleration in AI-related restructuring.”

While AI’s influence dominates headlines, federal budget cuts—known as the “DOGE Impact”—are another pillar driving this year’s wave of layoffs. The government sector has announced 292,294 job cuts this year, most at the federal level, as courts greenlight sweeping reductions. These have affected not just direct government roles, but also non-profits and healthcare through downstream funding losses, totaling an additional 13,056 layoffs.

Other economic stressors remain ever-present: Market and economic conditions have accounted for 171,083 cuts year-to-date, inflation and weaker demand have shuttered stores and plants (120,226 layoffs), while restructurings and bankruptcies contributed 66,879 and 35,641 cuts, respectively.

Where the layoff storm is hitting

Job cuts are distributed unevenly across the U.S. The East Coast has seen the most dramatic year-over-year increase, rising 219%, spurred by federal agency reductions in Washington, D.C., as well as steep jumps in states like New Jersey (+362%) and New York (+43%). Out West, California has also been roiled by 114,676 layoffs (+50%). In the South, job cuts climbed 34% overall, with Georgia and Florida seeing spikes of over 70%.

The tech sector tops private-sector losses, with 89,251 cuts year-to-date—a 36% jump from last year—reflecting AI’s disruptive role and ongoing work visa uncertainty. Retail has announced 80,487 layoffs so far in 2025, up 249% from a year ago, as inflation and tariffs push more stores to downsize or close their doors. Non-profit job cuts are up 413%, with mounting operational costs compounded by lost federal support. While the automotive sector’s year-to-date layoffs fell 31% from 2024, July alone saw nearly 5,000 jobs lost due to new tariffs, its most affected month since late last year.

Announced hiring plans provide little relief: just 86,132 new jobs have been planned by U.S. employers through July; this has consistently remained well below pre-pandemic levels. Technology hiring continues to slump, down 58% year-over-year with only 5,510 tech positions announced so far in 2025.

For this story, Fortune used generative AI to help with an initial draft. An editor verified the accuracy of the information before publishing. 

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裁员 人工智能 就业市场 经济 政府削减
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