Astral Codex Ten 08月05日
Should Strong Gods Bet On GDP?
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文章探讨了自由主义项目在构建社群方面的挑战与机遇。作者指出,尽管自由主义旨在提供一个平台让不同社群自由发展,但现实中多数人并未形成真正紧密的社群。文章分析了阿米什人、邪教、自由州项目、基督徒、LGBTQ社群及理性主义者等作为社群构建的案例,并认为经济因素是阻碍人们形成紧密社群的关键。作者提出,物质丰裕反而能更好地支持紧密社群的形成,并展望了未来经济模式可能为社群建设带来的新机遇。

🧐 **自由主义的社群构建挑战**:文章认为,自由主义项目旨在成为一个允许各种紧密社群(如宗教、政治团体)自由发展的平台,而非自身成为一个紧密社群。然而,现实情况是,大多数人并未形成有意义的社群联系,尽管他们对主流文化表示不满,却缺乏主动联合的动力。

👍 **社群成功的范例分析**:文章列举了多种成功的社群模式,包括生活在封闭环境、拥有强烈价值观的阿米什人(10/10),以及具有相似特质的邪教和公社(9.5/10)。此外,自由州项目(7/10)、部分基督徒(6/10)、LGBTQ社群(5/10)以及理性主义者(5/10)也被视为不同程度的社群构建尝试,但普遍存在局限性。

💰 **经济因素的关键作用**:作者认为,经济是阻碍人们形成紧密社群的主要原因。对于那些不那么坚定的社群成员,金钱是重要的支持,例如理性主义者社区的成功部分归功于成员在科技行业的收入,这使得他们能够聚集在湾区,并有能力资助社区项目。

💡 **物质丰裕与社群的互补性**:文章提出了一个与常识相反的观点,即物质丰裕可以更好地支持紧密社群的形成。与“贫穷到无法离开”的传统社群相比,自由主义更适合“富裕到可以自由选择地点”的社群模式。充足的物质基础可以为社群建设提供更多资源和可能性。

🚀 **未来社群构建的展望**:面对未来可能的经济模式转变(如普遍基本收入),作者认为这将为社群建设创造新的机会,打破当前制约人们形成社群的经济壁垒。尽管存在危机,但人们理论上可以自由选择和构建符合自己价值观的社群,关键在于克服经济上的制约。

Francis Fukuyama is on Substack; last month he wrote Liberalism Needs Community. As always, read the whole thing and don’t trust my summary, but the key point is:

R. R. Reno, editor of the magazine First Things, the liberal project of the past three generations has sought to weaken the “strong Gods” of populism, nationalism, and religion that were held to be the drivers of the bloody conflicts of the early 20th century. Those gods are now returning, and are present in the politics of both the progressive left and far right—particularly the right, which is characterized today by demands for strong national identities or religious foundations for national communities.

However, there is a cogent liberal response to the charge that liberalism undermines community. The problem is that, just as in the 1930s, that response has not been adequately articulated by the defenders of liberalism. Liberalism is not intrinsically opposed to community; indeed, there is a version of liberalism that encourages the flourishing of strong community and human virtue. That community emerges through the development of a strong and well-organized civil society, where individuals freely choose to bond with other like-minded individuals to seek common ends. People are free to follow “strong Gods”; the only caveat is that there is no single strong god that binds the entire society together.

In other words - yes, part of the good life is participation in a tight-knit community with strong values. Liberalism’s shared values are comparatively weak, and its knitting comparatively loose. But that’s no argument against the liberal project. Its goal isn’t to become this kind of community itself, but to be the platform where communities like this can grow up. So in a liberal democracy, Christians can have their church, Jews their synagogue, Communists their commune, and so on. Everyone gets the tight-knit community they want - which beats illiberalism, where one group gets the community they want and everyone else gets persecuted.

On a theoretical level, this is a great answer. On a practical level - is it really working? Are we really a nation dotted with tight-knit communities of strong values? The average person has a church they go to twice a year, a political philosophy that mainly cashes out in Twitter dunks, and otherwise just consumes whatever slop the current year’s instantiation of capitalism chooses to throw at them.

It’s worth surveying the exceptions that prove the rule:

But even defining these exceptions broadly, probably fewer than 10% of Americans belong to one of them.

Are the rest not interested? Happy with mainstream culture? They don’t seem happy to me. 90% of articles on social media are people talking about how much they hate mainstream culture, sometimes with strong specific opinions about what improvements to make. But it never seems to occur to these people to join together with like-minded friends and secede from it. Why not? Why don’t conservatives live in trad whites-only farming villages on the Great Plains? Why don’t YIMBYs live in dense walkable towns sprung up from the forests of Vermont? Why don’t people who hate smartphones/social media/AI live somewhere that bans all of those things?

My best guess is money.

If you’re sufficiently committed, you don’t need money. You can go out in the forest with your like-minded friends and probably starve (or, like the libertarians, get eaten by bears). But if you’re insufficiently committed, money is pretty helpful! Or at least this is what I gather from my own experience. There are three reasons the rationalists have somewhat succeeded at the community-building project when so many other movements have failed.

First, many of us worked in tech, and so ended out naturally gathering in the SF Bay Area without having to explicitly coordinate on it.

Second, some of us had enough money to live where we wanted (which turned out to be next to each other) and to cooperate to fund community projects.

Third, some of us made enough money to support other people who were working part-time or full-time on community building. Some of this looked like hiring them for community-building positions, but more often it was being able to afford family/housing structures where not everyone had to have an income-maximizing job at all times.

If we had even more money, we could do even better. Occasionally we fantasize about going further in the Amish or Free State direction. There are lots of reasons it doesn’t happen, but the main ones are money (building towns is expensive) and jobs (not everyone can work remotely). There’s some sense in which we’re being weak here - the Amish are very poor, and just sort of take the plunge and do it anyway. But keeping our level of weakness fixed, more money would help.

Why care about any of this?

I often see people whose politics center around tight-knit community make fun of those whose politics center around material abundance. But these are potentially complementary goals. The more material abundance we have, the better we can be at having tight-knit communities.

(yes, admittedly this is the opposite of how things usually work - some peasant village in medieval England had a tighter community than Malibu Beach or the Hamptons. I guess I would claim that “so poor you can’t leave” and “so rich you can be wherever you want” are two different strategies, and liberalism is more suited to the latter.)

I also see people say that if we avoid paperclipping, technofeudalism, and the other obvious ways a technological singularity could go wrong, the next thing we’ll have to worry about is some kind of crisis of meaning, where we all sit back and collect UBI and consume slop but it’s a total spiritual wasteland.

The optimistic perspective is that if this is so bad, what’s to stop you from joining the Amish? Or some sort of pseudo-Amish who live in an eternal 1990s? Or your own Amish-inspired sect who have whatever set of technological and social relations you think are optimal?

And the obvious counter is: there’s also nothing to stop people from doing that now. But they don’t. So whatever mysterious force prevents it now will continue to prevent it after the singularity.

But I think that force is just economics. Most people have to work a normal job, which prevents them from running off to Hypothetical Amish Country. Replace that with post-singularity economic relations - maybe UBI, maybe something else - and new options become available.

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自由主义 社群建设 经济因素 价值观 社会组织
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