cs.AI updates on arXiv.org 07月08日
Deep Learning-Based Forecasting of Hotel KPIs: A Cross-City Analysis of Global Urban Markets
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研究使用LSTM网络预测五个城市的关键绩效指标,并分析不同城市需求模式,验证LSTM模型在城市酒店业预测中的有效性。

arXiv:2507.03028v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: This study employs Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to forecast key performance indicators (KPIs), Occupancy (OCC), Average Daily Rate (ADR), and Revenue per Available Room (RevPAR), across five major cities: Manchester, Amsterdam, Dubai, Bangkok, and Mumbai. The cities were selected for their diverse economic profiles and hospitality dynamics. Monthly data from 2018 to 2025 were used, with 80% for training and 20% for testing. Advanced time series decomposition and machine learning techniques enabled accurate forecasting and trend identification. Results show that Manchester and Mumbai exhibited the highest predictive accuracy, reflecting stable demand patterns, while Dubai and Bangkok demonstrated higher variability due to seasonal and event-driven influences. The findings validate the effectiveness of LSTM models for urban hospitality forecasting and provide a comparative framework for data-driven decision-making. The models generalisability across global cities highlights its potential utility for tourism stakeholders and urban planners.

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LSTM模型 酒店业预测 城市分析
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