Astral Codex Ten 2024年10月22日
Ballots Everywhere: Call For Organizers, Times, & Dates
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本文介绍了作者计划为美国主要城市和州提供投票指南的计划,旨在帮助读者在即将到来的2024年美国大选中做出明智的投票决定。作者鼓励读者在每个城市组织投票会议,共同研究候选人和议案,并形成投票建议。文章详细介绍了投票会议的流程、投票建议的格式、投票内容以及如何确定投票对象等信息,并提供了多种参与方式,包括加入投票会议、提供意见建议等。作者希望通过这份投票指南,帮助读者更好地了解候选人和议案,并做出明智的投票选择。

🎉 组织投票会议:作者计划在10月5日至10月20日之间组织投票会议,每个城市或州的参与者将共同研究候选人和议案,并达成投票建议。

🗳️ 投票建议内容:投票建议应包含对每个候选人或议案的简要说明,并提供投票建议,可以是支持、反对或不确定。

🤝 协商一致:如果投票会议中出现意见分歧,可以进行投票表决或分别列出不同观点,并建议投票者自行决定。

🎯 投票内容:投票内容主要集中在下议院选举,例如市长、县议员、州议员等,以及加州等州的公投和宪法修正案。

💡 投票参考:作者建议参考官方投票指南、当地报纸的推荐、候选人网站、新闻采访、当地利益团体等信息来确定投票对象。

📣 意见反馈:作者鼓励读者通过邮件或评论的方式提供自己的意见和建议,帮助完善投票指南。

Each election year, I’ve shared how I plan to vote in local elections. This year I want to scale up and produce voter guides for all the big US cities/states with a critical mass of ACX readers.

Here are the ten locales I’m most interested in:

The process will look like:

    Each city’s organizer sets a date for the “ballot meetup”, when everyone gets together, researches the issues, and agrees on recommendations. The meetups should be sometime between October 5 and October 20 (sorry for short notice!). They use this form to tell me when that will be.

    On October 4, I post a list of all the ballot meetup dates.

    You hold your ballot meetups and get me your recommendations by October 21. You can use Google Docs or OpenBallot.

    I post all of them on October 22 so you have a couple of days to read them before voting.

What should our recommendations look like?

I’d like a paragraph or two of reasoning (can be longer if there’s a really complicated issue) plus a recommendation (the recommendation can be “we’re not sure”). See my 2022 post for examples.

So wait, is this for Democrats, Republicans, or what?

I’m going to rely on this being ACX meetup groups, which I assume will average out to the standard ACX political position, something like “centrist with progressive and libertarian sympathies”. If your meetup group doesn’t average out to that, vote your conscience anyway. I think most people will be more interested in hearing what you were able to learn about each candidate, and what considerations moved you, than in blindly trusting your final result.

What if our group can’t agree?

You can either vote among your group, or present both sides’ reasoning and recommend that people vote their conscience.

What should we send recommendations on?

I assume everyone already knows who they’re picking for president. I’m more interested in downballot races like mayor, county supervisor, or state legislator. In states like California where people vote directly on propositions and constitutional amendments, I’m interested in those too. You don’t have to do every single dogcatcher or whatever. Think of the effective altruist motto - “important, tractable, neglected” - and pick whatever set of local races seem highest value.

If your meetup group covers many localities (like a city with many city council districts, or somewhere like Berkeley or Boston where many of the attendees will really be from Oakland or Cambridge), you can decide whether to do full ballots for all localities, the most important races from each, or just pick one and stick to it.

How do we determine who to vote for?

Most cities will give out ballot guides before the election. Local institutions like newspapers will often make recommendations; you may choose to trust them or not based on whether you agree with their editorial perspective. You can usually Google all candidates’ names and find their campaign websites and sometimes local news interviews with them. Local interest groups (YIMBYs, teachers unions, etc) will often endorse one or another candidate, and you can Google those interest groups’ websites to see who they support and why.

What if my meetup group wants to do this, but I’m not in one of those ten cities?

If you’re an established ACX meetup group, go for it. I won’t have the time to handhold you like I will the big cities, but I’ll still post your voter guide if you get it to me on time.

I’m not interested in posting voter guides made by individuals (as opposed to meetup groups), because I worry that the lack of averaging across many people makes it a kind of random perspective that it would be weird for ACX to endorse. If you want to make one anyway, you can post it in the comments here or something, and maybe I’ll take pity and highlight it on an Open Thread.

If you’re in a non-US city that also has an election in the last few months of 2024, feel free to tag along, I guess.

How will you handle California statewide offices and initiatives?

I’m soliciting voting guides from four California cities. If they all give recommendations on statewide offices and initiatives, I’ll probably post everyone’s individual guide for their city on the 22nd (which will include their statewide recommendations), then take a few days to read them over and post some kind of consensus California version later.

What if I’m a well-informed representative of some locally popular interest group (effective altruists, YIMBYs, etc) and I want to make sure that people know my group’s perspective?

On the post on the 4th, I’ll include emails for all the meetup organizers. You can email them and let them know your thoughts so they can bring them up at their own meetup. If you have consensus California statewide thoughts, email me.

You can also comment on this post or the upcoming one on the 4th.

Okay, I’m a meetup organizer who wants to participate, what should I do?

Use this form to tell me when your meetup will be, and check the #ballots channel on the organizer Discord for more information.

I’m a meetup organizer but definitely can’t / don’t want to participate, what should I do?

Let’s talk about it on the #ballots channel of the organizer Discord, and maybe we can come up with an alternate leader for that session. If you’re an organizer but not on the Discord, email skyler[at] rationalitymeetups[ dot]org to fix that.

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美国大选 投票指南 投票建议
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